Thursday, August 30, 2012
Last year, I came out of the season with a 60% Win percentage against the spread. This year I have to lookout for rooting for the home underdog too much. A 5-11 Road Underdog record last year needs to be reversed this year as well as my Road favorite percentage. (All odds courtesy of 5Dimes.eu) Anyways, here are my picks for Week 1 and no rankings will be shown until the BCS rankings come out :
South Carolina at Vanderbilt (+6) - I believe that everybody has South Carolina too high and Vandy too low. Lattimore could be all the way back and then again, he might not be. I see a close game with Vandy pulling out a straight up victory. Let's start out this year picking a Home Dog.
South Carolina 24, Vanderbilt 28
Actual Score: South Carolina 17, Vanderbilt 13. WIN
Washington State (+12) at BYU - I don't pick against Mike Leach teams when they are double digit Dogs. His offenses can strike fast and keep games close. I think that the Cougars are a little overrated at the stast of this season.
Washington State 31, BYU 35
Actual Score: Washington State 6, BYU 30. LOSS
Minnesota (-8.5) at UNLV - Minnesota should be a tough team to beat in the Big Ten. UNLV isn't a team that should be able to compete against Big Ten teams.
Minnesota 38, UNLV 24
Actual Score: Minnesota 30, UNLV 27 (3OT). LOSS
Tennessee at North Carolina State (+3) - I believe that the offense from NC State should be able to move up and down on the Volunteer defense. The same can't be said for the reverse.
Tennessee 17, North Carolina State 27
Actual Score: Tennessee 35, North Carolina State 21. LOSS
Boise State (+7) at Michigan State - Boise could be looking at a perfect regular season if they can beat the Spartans. I don't know if they will win this game, but the Broncos can keep it within the 7 point spread.
Boise State 24, Michigan State 27
Actual Score: Boise State 13, Michigan State 17. WIN
Ohio (+6.5) at Penn State - I believe that it will be a relief for Penn State and the players to actually play football, but I see Ohio coming out and doing what would be unthinkable just a few years ago. Going to Happy Valley and pulling out a win.
Ohio 31, Penn State 27
Actual Score: Ohio 27, Penn State 17. WIN
Miami (-2.5) at Boston College - When I first saw this line, I couldn't believe it. The oddsmakers believe that BC might have a chance at being a decent team or they think that Miami is among the dregs of college football. I believe neither.
Miami 35, Boston College 17
Actual Score: Miami 41, Boston College 32. WIN
Colorado (-6.5) at Colorado State - Colorado is improving their talent and is pulling away from what was a competitive rivalry. Being in the PAC-12 makes a team better than those playing in the Mountain West.
Colorado 38, Colorado State 14
Actual Score: Colorado State 22, Colorado 17. LOSS
Clemson at Auburn (+3.5) - Clemson has been playing at a high level over the past couple of seasons. I don't think that they can continue this year and this game should prove that point against an Auburn team that isn't a serious threat for an SEC crown.
Clemson 24, Auburn 31
Actual Score: Clemson 26, Auburn 19 LOSS
Michigan at Alabama (-14) at Arlington, TX - While Denard Robinson is a Heisman Trophy candidate, he needs more help to get Michigan a win against the Crimson Tide.
Michigan 20, Alabama 38
Actual Score: Alabama 41, Michigan 14. WIN