Friday, September 15, 2017

2017 College Football Picks vs. The Spread - Week 3

A 3-7 week showed me that I just can't go with the big spreads for the favorites.

Week 3 Games:

1. (19) Stanford at San Diego State (+8.5) - The Aztecs have looked good so far. Stepping up in weight class, I think that they will keep it close.

Stanford 28, San Diego State 24
Actual Score: Stanford 17, San Diego State 20

2. (18) Kansas State at Vanderbilt (+3.5) - The upset special for this week. I expect Vandy to go 3-0 on the back of their defense.

Kansas State 17, Vanderbilt 20
Final Score: Kansas State 7, Vanderbilt 14

3. Texas at (4) USC (-15.5) - Tom Hermann was expected to turn the Longhorns around immediately. He hasn't done that and the Trojans will show why.

Texas 20, USC 45
Actual Score: Texas 24, USC 27 (OT)

4. (3) Clemson (-3) at (14) Louisville - Lamar Jackson is going nuts this year. He is why Louisville is ranked. I just don't think he has enough help to win this game.

Clemson 38, Louisville 33
Actual Score: Clemson 47, Louisville 21

5. Colorado State at (1) Alabama (-28) - Nick Saban is the guy that decides by how many points the Crimson Tide win by. I expect that he will want to cover this spread.

Colorado State 13, Alabama 45
Actual Score: Colorado State 23, Alabama 41

6. SMU at (20) TCU (-20) - SMU needs to improve their reputation in games against ranked teams. This is another chance for them, but I don't see them being close.

SMU 17, TCU 44
Actual Score: SMU 36, TCU 56

7. (9) Oklahoma State (-11.5) at Pittsburgh - The Panthers were beat down by Penn State last week. The Cowboys will do the same.

Oklahoma State 42, Pittsburgh 16
Actual Score: Oklahoma State 59, Pittsburgh 21

8. (23) Tennessee at (24) Florida (-4) - The Gators have better talent, coaching, and are at home. That means that the Gators shouldn't blow this game.

Tennessee 24, Florida 31
Actual Score: Tennessee 20, Florida 26

9. (12) LSU at Mississippi State (+7.5) - LSU is the 3rd best team in the SEC. They will win this, but the Bulldogs will make them earn it.

LSU 28, Mississippi State 24
Actual Score: LSU 7, Mississippi State 37

10. Air Force (+23) at (7) Michigan - The Air Force will keep this game semi close. The Jim Harbaugh rumors to Indianapolis might have an adverse eccect on the Wolverines.

Air Force 17, Michigan 35
Actual Score: Air Force 13, Michigan 29

Another 7-2-1 week. That gets me up to 17-11-2 vs. the point spread.

No comments: