New England (-7) at Detroit. I don't see a letdown from the Patriots after an emotional win against the Colts last week.
New Orleans (-4) at Dallas. There are people picking Dallas with the upset. That being said, the Saints are 7-3. Their offense is starting to click, and the Dallas defense still isn't up to snuff.
Cincinnati at NY Jets (-9). I don't like the line being this high for the Jets. Their offense is missing something. Maybe the Bungles coming to town will cure what ails them.
Pittsburgh (-7) at Buffalo. I think that the nastiness that the Raiders played the Stellers with last week will cause the Steelers to have a chip on their shoulder the rest of the season. That's not good for the rest of the league.
Tennessee at Houston (-7). Rusty Smith is the starting QB for the Tennessee Titans. That is all you need to know.
Minnesota (E) at Washington. Leslie Frazier will get his 1st win as Head Coach of the Vikings, despite the play of Brett Farve. Vikings will be motivated after the head coaching change.
Green Bay at Atlanta (-2). The Falcons are built for the tracks indoors of the NFL. If this was at Lambeau, the pick would be the Green and Gold.
Carolina at Cleveland (-11). The world is ending. The Browns are double digit favorites. But how do you not pick them against the worst team in the NFL this season.
Jacksonville at NY Giants (-8). Tom Coughlin has a soft spot in his heart for beating the Jaguars. Look for the Giants to roll.
Kansas City (-2) at Seattle. Kansas City is the better team but Seattle plays well at home. I'll take the Chiefs to win by a field goal.
Tampa Bay at Baltimore (-9). The Ravens defense is still extremely dangerous and will show that against a young Bucs offense.
St. Louis (+4) at Denver. I am going against the grain here. The Rams have not been Road Warriors and the passing game isn't vertical. I still see them winning this game against a rebuilding Broncos team.
Philadelphia (-3) at Chicago. A matchup to watch and see if Michael Vick can run roughshod over the Bears defense. I say no, but he will get the Eagles the victory.
San Diego (+2.5) at Indianapolis. The Chargers always give the Colts a game. Usually winning in the process. I'll take Rivers and the Bolts offense that is getting Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates back into the lineup this week.
San Francisco at Arizona (E). Would anybody watch this game if it wasn't on Monday night? Both teams have QB problems and at least one head coach won't be around next year. I'll take Arizona.
Record For Week 11:
Overall: 12-4 Win Pct: 75.0% Favorites: 8-2. Road Favorites: 3-0. Home Favorites: 5-2. Underdogs: 4-2. Road Underdogs: 4-2. Home Underdogs: 0-0.
Overall Record: 85-71-3. Winning Percentage: 54.4% Favorites: 55-54-2. Road Favorites: 29-18-2. Home Favorites: 26-36. Underdogs: 31-17-1. Road Underdogs: 19-14-1. Home Underdogs: 12-3.
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