A few days ago I did some very quick math analying the Sox's projected finish to the season. I figure Theo crew do this every year. Basically, I took the games left to play before the last two wins with KC and made the following assumptions. I didn't include make up games.
1.) the Sox will win 75% of all games vs. teams with less than a .500 winning record.
2.) they will go .500 against the above .500 teams.
Well... guess what, it cam to 97 wins! I think that gives them a decent chance at the playoffs. Any thoughts? By the way, the projected winning percentage was about the same as their current - ~.600.
32 games against below 500 teams and 36 against above 500.
Here is the numbers games left by opponent.
NY 7
Sea 6
Oak 6
LAA 6
CLE 4
TB 5
KC 6
Bal 9
Det 3
Tor 8
Chw 3
Min 3
I think they can get to 97 wins with who they play the rest of the way. If they can deal with Toronto a bit better and sweep KC, TB, and Bal.....lol
4 comments:
Looks good, Bro, and I agree. In fact, look at it if they just play slightly over .500 against good teams.
Now if the Yanks would just fold.
Can't believe none of you guys have answered the trivia question on the latest Brit Open post. And that no one's given me props for picking the HR derby winner.
That was really nice and welcomed job by Beckett yesterday.
I can't believe you didn't comment on the taint. LOL I don't always do this but I remember to when Blogger's sluggish...I keep saving as draft. Probably not the best technical advice but.
yeah, the Wake thing sucks. When's Clement due back? What have I missed about Hillenbrand? I thought he was a clubhouse and fan fav when he was here...very clutch and hardnosed. Obviously there's stuff I haven't heard.
It's the 'Roids. Shea it ain't so, is in fact so.
As for your technical difficulties....if you are in a hurry, write the thing in Word, then email to your office address, then cut and paste it into the Blog field.
Man is the engineer coming out now.....Mathmatical analysis?!?! (*&*%$ my brain hurts just thinking about it. The shock of you actually posting was enough, but math on top of that......too much for me this morning....
You know AA I thought the same thing initially, but then I heard the reason he was let go was that he missed the game due to having to go a meeting about adopting, it seems the adoption came through much quicker than anticipated. In this case Shea had his priorities right, and if that is the reason he was let go, I'd spouting off from the roof tops too.....
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