Friday, November 30, 2012

10 College Football Predictions - Week 14

Last week was close.  A 4-6 record could have easily been an 8-2 record.  I was 1 point away from winning the Ohio State - Michigan game.  Texas Tech lost in overtime by 7 and they had 3.5 points.  I had Wisconsin (+2) and they lost to Penn State in overtime by 3.  And Southern Cal played a flawed game but almost covered vs. Notre Dame.

It is Championship Weekend for those conferences that have Championship games.  I have 6 of those games picked.  I have also taken 9 favorites this week.  The one underdog?  Georgia.  You can laugh now.

1.  MAC Championship
Northern Illinois (-7.5) vs. Kent State - The Huskies would be undefeated if they could have closed out Iowa in an early season game.  They have played a tougher schedule and with the rest of the MAC rooting against them, they will cover the spread and win the MAC.
LOSS       Northern Illinois 44, Kent State 37 (2OT)

2.  PAC-12 Championship
UCLA at Stanford (-9) - I picked the Bruins last week and the Cardinal looked like the better team.  So knowing my luck, I will pick the Cardinal and the Bruins will show up and play like champions.
LOSS       Stanford 27, UCLA 24

3.  C-USA Championship
Central Florida at Tulsa (-2.5) - these two teams clashed earlier this year and had an entertaining game.  I am picking a repeat of that game.  Close throughout and Tulsa pulling it out in the 4th Quarter.
WIN       Tulsa 33, Central Florida 27 (OT)

4.  SEC Championship
Alabama vs. Georgia (+7.5) - I think that the Bulldogs could pull the upset.  I know that they can keep the score close.  The big question is Can Mark Richt coach to the same level as Nick Saban?
WIN       Alabama 32, Georgia 28

5.  Big-10 Championship
Nebraska (-3.5) vs. Wisconsin - Neither the Huskers or Badgers are a real sexy pick this year.  Both teams have won ugly for most of the year and this game won't turn pretty.  The Cornhuskers have been more consistant.
LOSS       Wisconsin 70, Nebraska 31

6.  ACC Championship
Florida State (-14) vs. Georgia Tech - Maybe the Seminoles will show up for this one since they took most of the game off last week vs. the Gators.  The Yellow Jackets have a waiver from the NCAA to go bowling if they lose this game.  Looks like the incentive to win and reach a bowl game is out the window for the Ramblin Wreck.
LOSS       Florida State 21, Georgia Tech 15

7.  Texas at Kansas State (-10.5) - I am still not sold on the Longhorns.  K-State can still make the BCS by winning this game.  I believe that Bill Snyder and Colin Klein will win big and end this miserable Big-12 season for the Longhorns.
WIN      Kansas State 42, Texas 24

8.  Oklahoma (-5.5) at TCU - Gary Patterson vs. Bob Stoops seems to me a draw.  The difference should be the talent levels.  I believe that OU has a better talent base than TCU.
WIN       Oklahoma 24, TCU 17

9.  Cincinnati (-4) at Connecticut - The losers not going to the ACC bowl.  They were both nudged out by Louisville.  Cincinnati has been the more consistent team and should be able to win.
WIN       Cincinnati 34, Connecticut 17

10.  South Alabama at Hawaii (-7) - The Vacation for South Alabama.  Hawaii should be able to run South Alabama out of the stadium.  
WIN       Hawaii 23, South Alabama 7

Last Week Results:

Road Favorite: 2-0
Road Underdog: 1-3
Home Favorite:1-1
Home Underdog:0-2

Yearly Record:

Overall: 67-64-1
Road Favorite: 20-19
Road Underdog: 18-14
Home Favorite: 26-24-1
Home Underdog: 3-7

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