Thursday, September 11, 2014

2014 College Football Odds Picks - Week 3

After a wild week of pro news that might make you want to stop watching sports (NFL and domestic violence, NBA and racism just to name two), it is time not to worry about the moral and business issues in sports for a couple of minutes. (For more on Ray Rice and what some people on the blog think about the NFL and that entire situation go to previous posts). We are back with Week 3 of the college picks. Right now, I am at a .250 Winning Percentage. Time to bring it up a bit.  Here we go with the Top 10 in the AP and 1 additional pick.

#8 Baylor at Buffalo (+35) - I understand that Baylor has looked like world beaters in the first two games. Those were at home. I don't expect a close game, but I do expect that the Bears won't look as good as they have.
Baylor 47, Buffalo 17

Wyoming at #2 Oregon (-43.5) - I believe that Craig Bohl is a very underrated coach. I do believe that he will have the Cowboys fighting for the Mountain West championship in a few years. But this is the first year for him at Wyoming. He has had two dogfights so far this season, winning both. This isn't going to be a dogfight game. Oregon is going to roll because they are much more talented than the opponents that the Cowboys have faced so far.
Wyoming 17, Oregon 66

Iowa State (+11) at Iowa - The Hawkeyes have been my favorite college football team since I was little. And they always seem to play a close game against the inferior Cyclones. The Hawkeyes offense leaves lots to be desired. I will take the double digit points and the Cyclones and pray that Coach Ferentz can lead the Hawkeyes to a memorable year.
Iowa State 24, Iowa 27

#6 Georgia (-6.5) at #24 South Carolina - The Gamecocks defense is worse than the coaching staff had advertised. Georgia is a underachieving team for the past decade. But the Bulldogs beat Clemson convincingly this year. Let's hope that Georgia looks just as good against South Carolina.
Georgia 31, South Carolina 21

Southern Mississippi (+48.5) at #3 Alabama - Almost a 50 point favorite, Alabama doesn't have a big time QB to turn to. Against the small time programs, it doesn't hurt, but it will when the athletes that populate the SEC come to play.
Southern Miss 14, Alabama 45

Louisiana-Monroe at #10 LSU (-31) - ULM got hot a year or two ago and were upsetting people. Les Miles will remember that and get his team ready for the possible upset. The Tigers are looking like they might be contenders in the SEC West.
ULM 10, LSU 48

#9 USC (-17) at Boston College - This is a game that I am scared of. I don't see the Eagles winning and I can see the Trojans either winning a close game or blowing BC out, just because they have the talent. It depends on their attitude.
USC 38, BC 17

Tennessee at #4 Oklahoma (-21.5) - I am impressed with the Sooners this year. It looks like the hype was warranted. As for Tennessee, not so much.
Tennessee 13, Oklahoma 43

Rice at #7 Texas A&M (-32.5) - Right now, I believe that the Aggies offense is the best one out there. The Owls will be happy when this one is over.
Rice 10, Texas A&M 57

#1 Florida State and #5 Auburn have byes this week.

And this is not a pick, but coming in at #40 of the AP Poll is North Dakota State, a FCS school. How many schools are in the "power 5 conferences"? Just asking.

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