Friday, November 18, 2011

College Football Prediction Results - Week 11

I am disappointed in this week.  Only 7 wins and losses by Boise State and LSU in the point spread hurt because they had been covering all year long.  

WIN  1) No. 6 Oregon (+3) at No. 3 Stanford - Oregon 53, Stanford 30.  Oregon is the big dog of the PAC-12 and proved it in this game.  LaMichael James scored 3 times and the Ducks rolled over the Cardinal easily in this game.  Andrew Luck might be the Heisman Trophy winner, and possible #1 overall pick in the NFL draft, but this game proves that the best team wins championships. 

WIN  2) No. 10 Virginia Tech (-1.5) at No. 20 Georgia Tech - Virginia Tech 37, Georgia Tech 26.  The Hokies might be the best team in the ACC again, with Clemson looking like they are going to falter yet again late in this season.  Beating Georgia Tech on the road goes a long way in establishing that fact.

WIN  3) No. 19 Nebraska (-2) at No. 12 Penn State - Nebraska 17, Penn State 14.  This game was emotionally filled with everything that had gone on in Happy Valley the preceding week.  The Huskers are the better team but the passing game needs to improve quickly. 

LOSS  4) TCU at No. 5 Boise State (-13) - TCU 36, Boise State 35.  If I am Chris Peterson, I am finding a kicking coach specifically for field goal attempts.  That and I am putting a TCU logo in the locker room to remind my players each and every day of the team that has taken us out of BCS Championship game consideration at least twice.    

WIN  5) No. 24 Auburn at No. 14 Georgia (-13) - Auburn 7, Georgia 45.  The Bulldogs are going to be the SEC East representative in Atlanta for the SEC Championship game.  They can throw a monkey wrench in the BCS by winning that game.  And while the SEC is the best conference in the land, it is in spite of the East which Georgia leads this year. 

WIN  6) Tennessee at No. 8 Arkansas (-13) - Tennessee 7, Arkansas 49.  The Hogs next game is against LSU.  The winner has the SEC West title and a date against Georgia in Atlanta.  The Vols are becoming the Vanderbilt Commodores Plus.  They can't hold up against the good teams and might pull out a victory here or there in SEC play. 

LOSS  7) Wake Forest at No. 9 Clemson (-15.5) - Wake Forest 28, Clemson 31.  This game shouldn't have been this close.  Clemson throughout the year has been the better team and with Wake faltering down the stretch, it looked like a easy Clemson victory.  Guess that's why they play the games.

TIE  8) No. 4 Alabama (-17) at Mississippi State - Alabama 24, Mississippi State 7.  Alabama came back from the loss against LSU, but not as strongly as I thought they would.  The Tide are still hoping for a BCS rematch against LSU.  That is the one game I don't want to see.

LOSS  9) No. 2 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (+19.5) - Oklahoma State 66, Texas Tech 6.  The Cowboys scored early and often in this game.  They also showed the country why they should be favored in the Bedlam game.  It was also nice to see that the defense actually decided to stop an offense.

WIN  10) Miami (Fla.) (+9.5) at Florida State - Miami 19, Florida State 23.  Both coaches have their respective programs on the rebound and Jumbo Fisher has shown that the succession plan after Bobby Bowden was a good one.  This rivalry will become more heated in the next couple of years.

Additional Two

WIN  11) Washington at No. 18 USC (-13) - Washington 17, USC 40.  Lane Kiffin is showing that he can coach a major BCS Conference team.  The Volunteer year might have wised him up a bit about how to go about the college ranks as far as coaching.  Look for the Trojans to be a force in the BCS after probation is over.

LOSS  12) Western Kentucky at No. 1 LSU (-41.5) - Western Kentucky 9, LSU 42.  The Tigers offense looked disjointed in the first half.  The second, it looked like the offense righted itself.  They need to be clicking against Arkansas or otherwise they might find themselves with a loss and out of the BCS Ttile game.

Week 11 Results:  7-4-1 Record.  2-1 Picking Underdogs.  5-3-1 Picking Favorites.  2-0 Road Underdog.  0-1 Home Underdog.  2-0-1 Road Favorites.  3-3 Home Favorites.

Season Results:  82-48-3 Record.  62.8 Win Percentage.  21-19 Picking Underdogs. 61-29-3 Picking Favorites. 16-10 Road Underdog.  5-9 Home Underdog.  24-13-1 Road Favorites.  37-16-2 Home Favorites.

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